Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 8.313658e-05 0.000099 0.000116 0.000135 0.000157 0.000180 0.000206
2025-01-26 5.855519e-05 0.000078 0.000101 0.000129 0.000162 0.000198 0.000242
2025-02-02 4.898093e-05 0.000071 0.000097 0.000131 0.000171 0.000218 0.000276
2025-02-09 3.985902e-05 0.000063 0.000092 0.000130 0.000178 0.000235 0.000307
2025-02-16 3.516031e-05 0.000059 0.000091 0.000134 0.000190 0.000256 0.000342
2025-02-23 3.016779e-05 0.000055 0.000089 0.000136 0.000198 0.000274 0.000373
2025-03-02 2.391631e-05 0.000047 0.000081 0.000130 0.000196 0.000278 0.000387
2025-03-09 1.903311e-05 0.000041 0.000075 0.000125 0.000195 0.000284 0.000403
2025-03-16 1.592180e-05 0.000038 0.000072 0.000124 0.000199 0.000295 0.000425
2025-03-23 1.360432e-05 0.000035 0.000070 0.000125 0.000204 0.000308 0.000450
2025-03-30 1.129628e-05 0.000032 0.000067 0.000123 0.000207 0.000317 0.000470
2025-04-06 8.790771e-06 0.000028 0.000062 0.000119 0.000204 0.000320 0.000482
2025-04-13 7.016727e-06 0.000025 0.000059 0.000119 0.000210 0.000335 0.000512
2025-04-20 4.805163e-06 0.000021 0.000054 0.000113 0.000207 0.000338 0.000526
2025-04-27 3.894276e-06 0.000019 0.000053 0.000115 0.000215 0.000356 0.000560
2025-05-04 2.946550e-06 0.000017 0.000050 0.000114 0.000219 0.000369 0.000588
2025-05-11 2.491347e-06 0.000016 0.000051 0.000118 0.000230 0.000391 0.000628
2025-05-18 1.957860e-06 0.000015 0.000050 0.000119 0.000237 0.000408 0.000662
2025-05-25 1.204560e-06 0.000013 0.000045 0.000114 0.000233 0.000410 0.000674
2025-06-01 7.142622e-07 0.000011 0.000042 0.000110 0.000231 0.000413 0.000688
2025-06-08 4.583146e-07 0.000009 0.000040 0.000109 0.000234 0.000424 0.000713
2025-06-15 3.010215e-07 0.000008 0.000039 0.000109 0.000239 0.000438 0.000742
2025-06-22 1.673400e-07 0.000007 0.000037 0.000108 0.000241 0.000448 0.000766